What the Bradford Factor measures
The Bradford Factor is a way of turning someone’s absence record into a single number that reflects how disruptive that absence has been ā not just how many days were lost. The idea, credited to research associated with the Bradford University School of Management, is that frequent short absences (a day here, a day there) are harder to plan around and cover than one longer, planned block. The formula deliberately punishes the former.
The formula: B = S² à D
The score is worked out over a rolling 52-week period using two figures:
- S ā the number of separate absence spells (instances), no matter how long each one is.
- D ā the total number of days absent across all those spells.
You then multiply the number of spells squared by the total days: B = S² Ć D. Squaring the spells is the whole point ā it makes many separate absences score much higher than the same days taken in one go.
Worked examples
These three examples all involve 10 total days off, but the scores differ wildly:
| Pattern | Spells (S) | Days (D) | Calculation | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| One 10-day illness | 1 | 10 | 1² à 10 | 10 |
| Two 5-day spells | 2 | 10 | 2² à 10 | 40 |
| Five 2-day spells | 5 | 10 | 5² à 10 | 250 |
The same ten lost days score 10 as a single spell but 250 when scattered across five ā twenty-five times higher, purely because of how often the person was absent. You can work out a score instantly with our Bradford Factor calculator rather than doing the sums by hand.
Typical trigger bands
There is no official or legal set of thresholds ā each employer sets its own. That said, widely-cited templates often use points bands like these as a starting point:
- 51 points ā an informal review or an early return-to-work conversation.
- 201 points ā a more formal discussion and possibly a first warning under your absence procedure.
- 401 points ā treated as a serious concern warranting further formal action.
Treat these as illustrative only. Whatever bands you adopt, publish them, apply them the same way for everyone, and use a trigger as a prompt to talk ā never as automatic discipline. Always look at the reasons behind a score before acting.
Pros and cons
Used well, the Bradford Factor is a simple, consistent way to spot patterns. But it has real limits:
- Pro: it is objective and easy to calculate, and it highlights frequent short-term absence that headline day-counts can hide.
- Pro: a shared formula and published bands help managers act consistently rather than on gut feel.
- Con: it can feel punitive and may push people to come in when genuinely unwell (presenteeism).
- Con: a single score strips out context ā the reason for the absence matters far more than the number.
Fairness and legal cautions
The score is only a tool. How you use it is where the legal risk lies:
- Disability discrimination. Under the Equality Act 2010 you may need to make reasonable adjustments, which can include discounting disability-related absence from the score. Applying a blanket trigger to a disabled employee can be discriminatory.
- Pregnancy and maternity. Pregnancy-related absence should usually be excluded from the calculation ā counting it towards a trigger can amount to unlawful discrimination.
- Data protection. Absence and health data is special-category personal data. Store it securely, limit who can see it, and be clear with staff about how scores are used.
In short: use the score to start a fair, human conversation, keep records of your reasoning, and take advice on individual cases. This is general guidance, not legal advice ā check gov.uk and Acas for your circumstances.
How to track it
The Bradford Factor is only useful if the underlying absence data is accurate and up to date. For a manual approach, our free absence tracker (Excel) has the Bradford Factor built in, so a score appears as you log each spell. If you would rather not maintain a spreadsheet, Rotaleave’s reports compute each person’s Bradford Factor automatically from their real absence records, so nothing has to be re-keyed.